Communicating the impacts of uncertainty when modelling coastal flooding hazards
Coastal flooding hazards represent the most dangerous and costly impact facing estuaries and coastal zones worldwide. The magnitude, coincidence, and relative timing of physical processes such as tides, storm surge, waves, and rivers drives the flooding hazard. Numerical models can simulate these complex interactions to resolve the flood hazard for warnings and risk mitigation planning. However, modelling procedures can lead to a range of uncertainties that need to be quantified for the simulations to be meaningful. This session will focus on how uncertainty associated with simulating the impacts of current and future coastal flooding can be best communicated to end-users.
Curated by Charlotte Lyddon, Coastal Modelling Research Officer, School of Ocean Sciences, Bangor University
Chaired by Charlotte Lyddon and Jennifer Brown, Coastal Oceanographer in Marine Physics and Ocean Climate, National Oceanography Centre
Speakers:
- Sanne Muis, Assistant Professor in Water and Climate Risk, Institute for Environmental Studies, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
- Ben Gouldby, Chief Technical Director of Flood Risk, HR Wallingford
- Matthew Palmer, Lead Scientist for Sea Level, Met Office Hadley Centre